Probabilistic forecasting of wind power ramp events using autoregressive logit models
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic forecasting of wind power ramp events using autoregressive logit models
A challenge for the efficient operation of power systems and wind farms is the occurrence of wind power ramps, which are sudden large changes in the power output from a wind farm. This paper considers the probabilistic forecasting of a ramp event, defined as exceedance beyond a specified threshold. We directly model the exceedance probability using autoregressive logit models fitted to the chan...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Journal of Operational Research
سال: 2017
ISSN: 0377-2217
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2016.10.041